Noted another gap down as the fed declares victory on inflation. The federal funds rate will peak at 5% without getting anywhere near what it was 23 years ago, since most of the money is printed rather than credit. The mane problem is the stonk market's tight adherence to the fed balance sheet. Where do you think they're getting the money to shrink the balance sheet? They're both down 5% from their peaks. Lions still see a slow meltdown unless the fed backpedals.
What lions think is happening is index funds are earning interest on large treasury positions. They're putting the interest into stonks to manetain a constant allocation. It's not millennials pouring money in the stonk market expecting lower interest rates. High interest rates are pushing up stonks like the 90's. Millennials are taking money out of the stonk market to buy houses & pay their mortgages. Important reminder that lions would only barely get by & be fairly unhappy if they retired now, drained their savings to buy a house, & couldn't afford a lot of things they hoped to have. Lions don't expect to have the coordination required to play it, when the time comes. Maybe they could just play chords. Would definitely have to learn how to tune it & regulate it. If lions didn't have to buy a house, things would be better. 40 years ago, bonds were called fixed income because the standard method was to use interest as a sou...
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