https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6ZLOKK1_Tw
Estrin was always super positive on the value of buying pianos. He always printed a dire headline to get the engagement & then spun it into a positive for buyers. This time, dire situation for the manufacturers, manetainers, & resale value, but a great situation for consumers.
The mane problem, this time around, is a short term decline in Chinese spending, as the world's largest consumer of acoustic pianos. There are only so many times you can say it's a dire situation for manufacturers, manetainers & resale value but great for consumers before consumers have to be in denial.
For lions to part with $80k & have a large climate controlled room, it would now be a hobby of manetaining the instrument more than playing it. Lions would have to take a class in tuning & regulation, buy the tools, & just do that, like manetaining an old car.
It all makes it easier to imagine splurging on the highest fidelity electric replica possible. Gone is the large room. Any single family house would do. The current leaders are now from pianoverse.
They all run as VST plugins now. There are ways to hook a VST plugin into Linux through wine,
https://github.com/osxmidi/LinVst
but for the lowest latency & highest chance of success, it's going to be prudent just to run it on a native Windows box with an off the shelf sequencer. It needs its own GUI, no matter what. That would provide una corda support & a real steinway sound, for a lot less than a real piano.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A large section of Boise is now worth 8 figures & a lot of classmates just retired. On the 1 paw, it will never happen to the lion kingdom's mom & pop startups. On the other paw, lions wouldn't know where else to go. A lot of coworkers went to GOOG in 2001 & lions doubted it would last. When goog hit paydirt in 2006 & lions pondered where the next winning ticket was, lions would never have guessed MU or NVDA.
Of course, Micron was incredibly selective & heavy on academics. Only MS's need bother applying now & those classmates had all straight A's 30 years ago. Everyone there earned their 8 figure payouts. Also noted they're very focused on solving problems as quickly as possible instead of getting bogged down by programming language choices & coding semantics like typical mom & pop startups. On the 1 paw, mom & pop startups just don't have enough addressable market. On the other paw, they tend to perpetually get in their own way.
At the same time, a lot of facemeta employees just lost their jobs & are going to be delivering packages next. The industry is really a lottery with both sides close to home. Unlike past booms, the current phase is a simultaneous boom & bust. The commodity chip makers are booming. The finished product makers are laying off like crazy. The industry was manely commodity chip makers & maneframes 40 years ago. That began pivoting to a B2B software phase 30 years ago. Now it's largely end user software.
Lions tried to get into Spacex once. It was purely an interest play because space just didn't matter to anyone. That would have been the lion kingdom's only winning ticket, if lions survived all the layoffs, the burnout, & lasted 20 years.
The highest earners had no hobbies or talents outside their work. Their only experience was through formal education & formal employment. Gootube shows a lot of parent funded hobby projects being used as MIT applications, but that's not what lions saw making zillionaires. They didn't have any time off during work days but had all their time off in the form of lots of vacations. For vacations, they traveled or watched TV. They never started anything they couldn't let go of.
Not just classmates but internet stars Dave Plummer, Greenspun, Merlin exhibited the same trend. There is a generation of gootube stars who still have jobs, but the ones getting rich aren't taking anything on until after they get rich. Curious Marc, Dave Jones & Scott Manley eventually had an addictive hobby after they became rich.
https://growmane.blogspot.com/2024/07/up-some-more-cinelerra-contributors.html
As noted, contributing to Cinelerra generally preceded abnormal success. 1 began his career with 5 years at Nvidia before it went to infinity, but he's still working. He might have sold his shares before 2015. Another one disappeared from linkedin after showing a stint at Adobe. He might have retired after less than 15 years of rapid advancement. Most everyone who worked on a fork of Cinelerra entered the workforce after 2008 & it's unlikely they still remember any of their prior work.
When pondering what to do if any day job stonk awards actually stayed intact after an exit, which they never did, lions imagined selling 50% of them off immediately & investing in something more promising. At most, 100% would have been gradually sold off as the price rose. The terminal price would have been nowhere near as high as the lottery prizes. Nowadays, day job shares are worth so little compared to lion assets, they wouldn't be worth selling at all. They might stay intact either forever if they went down or until they could meaningfully enhance a retirement.
The industry has always been excited by spoken language interfaces. There were the voice readers of the 90's, the digital assistants of the 2010's & now magically reconstituting prior creative output with spoken text. Lions have always struggled to see much value in any of the spoken text interfaces of the last 40 years.
Comments
Post a Comment