Lion ponderings

 Lions have a growing taste for 4:3 LCD & they believe the industry will have a revival too.  At the same time, a large swath of history was spent painfully watching letterbox video on these displays.  They're super expensive now & very low resolution, but there is a niche for a large 4:3 3840x2880.  They took a lot less space on a desk. Most of today's content isn't 16:9 or cinematic anymore.  It's vlogs, vertical video, & possibly memes.  It's all being shown on phones. Will it return to the world of 1999 where generation X all watched gifs slowly load on their 4:3 screens?  Probably not.  Having the option to watch 16:9 video without letterbox is always going to be better than freeing up space. Damnit Trump.  What we need is Trump to open the border so Kamal opens the  border, then Trump can close the border & win. US has never had a modern Calif* democrat as its ruler.  Its last Calif* ruler was Reagan, during a vastly different time.  They other

  Looks like the lion kingdom's last Blue Thunder screening was lost to time.  There were a few stills which were never uploaded.  That was the ultimate man-machine story.  Don't think any recent man machine story did it as well.  The iron man suit, Dune suit, Avatar copters were more visual than functional characters.  The Avatar clone would have been the machine star, but it was more human than machine.  The marvel movies were always only about the human's super powers.  It could be when machines got cheaper to film, they didn't have to earn back their cost so they became dumb visuals. IMDB says the stars did some of their own flying but didn't name any specific scenes.    The copter was a mane character, complete with its own quirks, features, super powers.    The watch was a real Casio A201 but it never had the countdown animation pictured.  It had a double layer LCD with all possible watch hands on 1 layer & digital readouts on another layer.  The movie sho

  Fake Newell isn't channeling the Newelll magic. The mighty Newellll retired in June.  He stopped doing the shows live at some point & by the end, they were manely stock footage. Kind of disappointing to have seen a live show but no Newelll.   Some guy put in these parameters on the twitters.  The lion den wouldn't be considered as comfortable as the map shows by lion standards.  Surprised NM squeaked in & how bad ID is with its $1 mil houses. Ohio is the only one under $1 mil now. You have to keep working until you die in the red areas. The lion kingdom could probably retire now in Ohio.  Retiring in FL is going to require many more years of working.   The experiment showed lions won't be bored or unhappy in retirement as long as there's any budget for crap.  Those experimental years were the most fulfilling & busiest of lion lives.  The daily schedule is already planned. The lion kingdom's ace in the hole is going to be climate control & artifici

 Lions have used the organic approach during bull markets for expanding the stonk percentage.  It expands itself.  During the bull market of 2024, it has made up on its own for not getting as many contributions as hoped.  There's still an expectation of an election pullback.     The higher the debt, the lower the interest rate.   Investments outpaced day job income by over 2x since June, but it was just because of the interest rate pivot & continued high yields, which is not sustainable.  A repeat of 1995-2000 with high yields & high stonk growth would be ideal, but government debt was only 60% of GDP in those days. They can't afford positive interest payments on the debt anymore. The federal funds rate will drop from 5.3% to 5% on Sep 18.   After 35% dividend tax in Calif*, that leaves 3.25% on a good day.  Big market selloffs like what lions expect to happen before election day could bring that closer to 2.6%.  You're looking at -.25% to -1% compared to long term

  A bit bland compared to frankfurters & pepperoni. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A 6 year old clickbait study rounded the internet again.  It was picked up in 2022 & massaged into another clickbait story.  As the story goes, a falling birthrate & falling marriage rate would be caused by more women not depending on men for survival. The payoff is a graph predicting the single childless rate.  The fact is it doesn't change from 2019-2030 & it counts all age groups.  Of course, the 80 year olds are going to be childless & unmarried. The demise of mating in general has been known since the 90's.  It's always been blamed on women not depending on men to survive.  When the lion kingdom was last of realistic dating age around 2010, the ratio of single to taken was 1:1 according to the graph.  Since then, the  single have only slightly outpaced the taken.  Mating with a single  part

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/what-net-worth-does-one-need-rich-2024-heres-what-americans-think?dicbo=v2-qSV6OHX If it takes $3 mil to be rich nowadays, why did you vote to tax the everliving daylights out of everyone making $200k as if renters are the incarnation of satan ?  -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------     The flexor digitorum longus did its last flex at age 48, but it still managed a pretty impressive 8 miles, considering the number of animals who can't make it 8 miles.  It hasn't recovered in the last 6 months, but it's neither getting worse nor better.  New techniques have enabled higher exertion without full recovery.  There was a plan to start entertaining tendonotomy in September, but with metronome training & diet modification, it might be less impactful just to keep running on it in its reduced capacity than knock it out completely for an extended time with surgery.   Of

  There are those who say were at about 1975 in the fed playbook & things are on track to fall over in the next 5 years.  A lot of things do match up.  They blamed the 2 inflation spikes of the 70's on the great society program, vietnam war, energy shortages.  They also blamed bad data. Nowadays, there are those replacing great society program with quantitative easing, vietnam war with ukraine war, & energy shortages with housing shortages.  As for bad data, it would be the CPI under representing the 2 headed reality. History never repeats, but it rhymes.  Lions suspect 1979 will repeat but it'll be  10% house inflation offset by -5% boat deflation.  The federal funds rate repeating 2 humps seems likely.  The 2nd hump won't get anywhere near 5% but we might dip to 2% before revisiting 3.5%.  Making money in the stonk market probably depends on focusing on the 2nd hump because there will be panics when & if the inflation reports start spiking again. The biggest p

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnbH5Fz7o_o   It occurred to lions that instead of pouring zillions of dollars into subsidizing home owers, the state should be subsidizing tent cities.  Almost all of the state budget funds the very top of the housing spectrum because amerikan socialism is famously socialism for the rich.  What US really has is no more erable land & no more construction capacity.  The only real solution is to move money to the very bottom, the tent city. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Once again, the pull back before the big speech.  The fact is, nothing is going to change.  They have to pump up housing prices to make up for falling wages & they have to get the national debt back below GDP.  All governments push inflation as high as they can & interest rates as low as they can when debt exceeds GDP. There's a probability of it going this way & still a probability of it no

  Open wide, motherfuckers.  This end of the 2 headed economy is going supersonic.  The lion kingdom has more than the value of a house in the stonk market, so in terms of missing out on  the top head of dual headed inflation, lions probably have that covered.  Real estate is a volatile market just like stonks, manely investor funded rather than owner occupied nowadays, & not diversified.  Stonks & real estate are both in the top head, but stonk prices won't self limit because they don't count as inflation. The 2 big risks are the pre rate cut media blitz & the pre election fear of Kamal.  It's been 30 years of nearly continuous democrat rule, but so far no sudden wealth tax.  Obama delivered a new tax on capital gains, a 4% bump for realized gains & only for AGI above $200k. Remember the good old days 10 years ago when $200k wasn't poverty?  Everyone is getting hit by the NIIT nowadays. It's surprising Ego Monger's husband follows the cloth, sin

 The lion kingdom has pondered how so many Calif* ahans voted for politicians who made life in Calif* impossible, fled Calif* after 2020, made the nation wide price of housing double, then voted for the same Calif* politicians they fled from.   The definition of making lemonade out of lemons.  The guy you voted for couldn't do the job but you'll get it right on attempt 2.  It's not about voting for success.  It's about voting for interim candidates to pass the torch to someone better later on. In any sane system, they'd be praying for Bide to get the hell off the stage, but in US's 1 party system they don't have to try at all.  The only reason they can win by calling themselves interim candidates is because amerikans vote purely on party loyalty. The final goofy campaign move was trying to sell Kamal as the underdog.  Democrats haven't been the underdog since 1988.  It's been a 1 party system & arguably the US of Calif* for 30 years.  They have t

  The gubment has to debase the dollar roughly every 8 years when treasuries start to get ahead of liquidity.  Your best bet for buying a house might be 2028.  They're going to keep going up until then, but they might take a dip in 2028. It could be 2026 when the gubment runs out of liquidity again. We'd then have 6 years from 2008-2014, 6 years from 2014-2020 & 6 years from 2020-2026. The problem is the dip will make everyone significantly poorer before they print. The lion kingdom will probably not be buying after the september dip & rate cut.  Having said that, lions would consider the stonk market a surer thing than employment after 50.  A salary is normally not part of future projections.  It's believed staying at the same company for a long time & not having gaps is better. Something lions have pondered is how japanese rural houses lost all their value & whether it could happen h.e.r.e..  It would definitely be limited to rural houses.  Lions don't